Tennis · W100 Evansville · 24/07, 17:00
Prediction: Renata Zarazua vs Yuki Naito
Prediction summary
Winner
Renata Zarazua
Yuki Naito
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Renata Zarazua
3-7 (W-L)
Yuki Naito
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Renata Zarazua
1–0
Yuki Naito
(1 last)
- 12 Sept2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Renata Zarazua 1477 · Yuki Naito 1505
| Renata Zarazua | Yuki Naito | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Renata Zarazua 1–0 Yuki Naito (1).
- Note: Yuki Naito makes many double faults (10.1/match).
Statistics
| Renata Zarazua | Yuki Naito | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 38% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.6-10.9 | 12.7-11.5 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 10.1 |
| 1st serve % | 60.2% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 41.9% | 53.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
H2H · Renata Zarazua 1 – 0 Yuki Naito (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Renata Zarazua 1–0 Yuki Naito
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/20 ITF W25 Prague | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Renata Zarazua
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Sloane Stephens W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 22/07 | Cadence Brace W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Alexandra Eala Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Xinyu Wang WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Sinja Kraus WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Mariella Thamm WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Linda Noskova WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Petra Marcinko WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 15/06 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/06 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Yuki Naito
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Fiona Crawley W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 23/07 | Madison Brengle W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 21/07 | BoYoung Jeong W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Sara Saito W75 Granby |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Audrey Spencer W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Lucrezia Stefanini W100 Cary · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Aishi Das W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 23/06 | Mio Mushika W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/06 | Thasaporn Naklo W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Ayano Shimizu W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Renata Zarazua vs Yuki Naito?
Our model gives 57% to Renata Zarazua, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.