Tennis · M15 Rognac · 24/07, 16:30
Prediction: Alexandre Reco vs Loan Lestir
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexandre Reco
Loan Lestir
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Alexandre Reco
6-4 (W-L)
Loan Lestir
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexandre Reco 1490 · Loan Lestir 1534
| Alexandre Reco | Loan Lestir | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Loan Lestir (rating 1490 vs 1534).
- Note: Alexandre Reco makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Alexandre Reco | Loan Lestir | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-11.1 | 10.7-9.8 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 5.6 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 70.5% | 67.8% |
| Break % | 29.6% | 60.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexandre Reco
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Zach Stephens M15 Rognac |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Luc Fomba M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 22/06 | Diego Dedura-Palomero M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Franco Ribero Challenger Royan · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 10/06 | Fausto Tabacco M15 Messina · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Giulio Perego M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/06 | Massimo Giunta M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/06 | Carlos Lopez Montagud M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/06 | Leonardo Primucci M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Loan Lestir
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Mathys Picard M15 Rognac |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Timofei Derepasko M15 Rognac |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/07 | Niels Villard M15 Rognac |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 25/06 | Keshav Chopra M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Muzammil Murtaza M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Reid Jarvis M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Keshav Chopra M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/05 | Izan Almazan Valiente M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-11 | L |
| 28/05 | Aziz Ouakaa M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/05 | Tiago Pires M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexandre Reco vs Loan Lestir?
Our model gives 59% to Alexandre Reco, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.