Tennis · Challenger Tampere · 24/07, 16:00
Prediction: Henri Squire vs Otto Virtanen
Prediction summary
Winner
Henri Squire
Otto Virtanen
Estimated games
25.6
Recent form · 10 last
Henri Squire
5-5 (W-L)
Otto Virtanen
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Henri Squire
0–2
Otto Virtanen
(2 last)
- 30 Oct0-2 10-13L
- 20 Jan0-2 9-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Henri Squire 1538 · Otto Virtanen 1555
| Henri Squire | Otto Virtanen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Otto Virtanen dominates on serve: 12.6 aces and 41.4% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Henri Squire 0–2 Otto Virtanen (2).
- Note: Henri Squire makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Henri Squire | Otto Virtanen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.7-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-11.3 | 16.5-15.1 |
| Aces | 5.7 | 12.6 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 71.1% | 77.1% |
| Break % | 41.2% | 41.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.6
H2H · Henri Squire 0 – 2 Otto Virtanen (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Henri Squire 0–2 Otto Virtanen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/22 Challenger Bergamo | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/01/22 ITF M25 Vilnius | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Henri Squire
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Matej Dodig Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 10/07 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 06/07 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Keegan Smith Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 22/06 | Michael Zheng Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Otto Virtanen
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 11/07 | Dylan Dietrich ATP Gstaad · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Arthur Fery Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 19-24 | L |
| 30/06 | Ben Shelton Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 28-25 | W |
| 25/06 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-19 | W |
| 24/06 | Luca Nardi Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Pedro Martinez Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 20/06 | Christopher O'Connell Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 19/06 | Zhizhen Zhang Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Henri Squire vs Otto Virtanen?
Our model gives 58% to Otto Virtanen, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.