Tennis · W15 Brisbane · 24/07, 03:00
Prediction: Ya-Yi Yang vs Chia Yi Tsao
Prediction summary
Winner
Ya-Yi Yang
Chia Yi Tsao
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ya-Yi Yang
9-1 (W-L)
Chia Yi Tsao
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ya-Yi Yang
1–0
Chia Yi Tsao
(1 last)
- 30 Sept2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ya-Yi Yang 1590 · Chia Yi Tsao 1518
| Ya-Yi Yang | Chia Yi Tsao | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ya-Yi Yang (rating 1590 vs 1518).
- Head-to-head: Ya-Yi Yang 1–0 Chia Yi Tsao (1).
Statistics
| Ya-Yi Yang | Chia Yi Tsao | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-8 | 11.1-9.7 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 67.7% | 60.9% |
| Break % | 55.9% | 54.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
H2H · Ya-Yi Yang 1 – 0 Chia Yi Tsao (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ya-Yi Yang 1–0 Chia Yi Tsao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09/23 ITF W40 Nanao | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ya-Yi Yang
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Nithesa Selvaraj W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/07 | Jizelle Sibai W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 18/07 | Destanee Aiava W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Stefani Webb W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Aishi Das W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Nanari Katsumi W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/06 | Sakura Hosogi W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Natsumi Kawaguchi W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Nagi Hanatani W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Sevil Yuldasheva Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Chia Yi Tsao
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Fang An Lin W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/07 | Laquisa Khan W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/07 | Lily Taylor W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Amy Stevens W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 26/06 | Gyeong Seo Lee W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 25/06 | Erika Sema W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 23/06 | Ching Ying Chen W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Sakura Hosogi W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 28/05 | Cheuk Ying Shek W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Yui Ohwaki W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ya-Yi Yang vs Chia Yi Tsao?
Our model gives 55% to Ya-Yi Yang, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.