Tennis · M15 Brisbane · 24/07, 03:00
Prediction: Moerani Bouzige vs Matt Hulme
Prediction summary
Winner
Moerani Bouzige
Matt Hulme
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Moerani Bouzige
3-7 (W-L)
Matt Hulme
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Moerani Bouzige
1–1
Matt Hulme
(2 last)
- 15 Jul1-2 15-14L
- 10 Oct2-0 12-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Moerani Bouzige 1490 · Matt Hulme 1609
| Moerani Bouzige | Matt Hulme | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matt Hulme (rating 1490 vs 1609).
- Matt Hulme dominates on serve: 7.9 aces and 54.9% break avg.
- Matt Hulme is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Moerani Bouzige makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Moerani Bouzige | Matt Hulme | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.8-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-11.6 | 13.1-10.9 |
| Aces | 6.2 | 7.9 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 69.7% |
| Break % | 31.1% | 54.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
H2H · Moerani Bouzige 1 – 1 Matt Hulme (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Moerani Bouzige 1–1 Matt Hulme
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07/26 M25 Brisbane | 1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 10/10/23 ITF M25 Cairns | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Moerani Bouzige
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Yuki Mochizuki M15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 21/07 | Mustafa Ege Sik M15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 15/07 | Matt Hulme M25 Brisbane |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 08/07 | Yuki Mochizuki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 02/07 | Asahi Harazaki M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Taiyo Yamanaka M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Xirui Han M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 23/06 | Yuta Tomida M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/06 | Hoyoung Roh M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Duckhee Lee M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Matt Hulme
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Omar Jasika M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/07 | Wihan Van Der Merwe M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/07 | Jake Delaney M25 Brisbane |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 18/07 | Zachary Viiala M25 Brisbane |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 17/07 | Colin Sinclair M25 Brisbane |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/07 | Joshua Charlton M25 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Moerani Bouzige M25 Brisbane |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 14/07 | Sam Wensley M25 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/06 | Zane Stevens UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Finley Dyer UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Moerani Bouzige vs Matt Hulme?
Our model gives 55% to Matt Hulme, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.