Prediction: Ryuki Matsuda vs Taisei Ichikawa
Prediction summary
Winner
Ryuki Matsuda
Taisei Ichikawa
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Ryuki Matsuda
5-5 (W-L)
Taisei Ichikawa
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ryuki Matsuda
1–1
Taisei Ichikawa
(2 last)
- 17 Nov0-2 8-13L
- 28 Oct2-1 17-16W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ryuki Matsuda 1483 · Taisei Ichikawa 1492
| Ryuki Matsuda | Taisei Ichikawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Ryuki Matsuda | Taisei Ichikawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-10.4 | 11.3-10.9 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 63.2% | 69.5% |
| Break % | 34.3% | 44.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
H2H · Ryuki Matsuda 1 – 1 Taisei Ichikawa (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ryuki Matsuda 1–1 Taisei Ichikawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/11/25 Challenger Yokohama | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/10/24 Challenger Sydney | 2-1 | 17-16 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ryuki Matsuda
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Rafalentino Ali Da Costa M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/07 | Manish Sureshkumar M15 Bali |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Mustafa Ege Sik M25 Brisbane |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Koki Matsuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Yuto Oki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Yuto Oki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 12/06 | Roger Pascual Ferra M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Daniil Sarksian M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/06 | Rodrigo Fernandes M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Amine Jamji M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Taisei Ichikawa
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Mukund Sasikumar M15 Bali |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 21/07 | Jumpei Yamasaki M15 Bali |
2-0 | 10-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Makoto Ochi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Kasidit Samrej M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Hunter Heck M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/06 | Jangjun Kim M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 15/06 | Ryota Tanuma M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 12/06 | Naoya Honda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 11/06 | Takuya Kumasaka M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 09/06 | Yuki Mochizuki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ryuki Matsuda vs Taisei Ichikawa?
Our model gives 55% to Taisei Ichikawa, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.