Tennis · M15 Bali · 24/07, 06:30

Prediction: Sanhui Shin vs Alexander Chang

Prediction summary
Winner
66% 34%
Sanhui Shin Alexander Chang
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Sanhui Shin 6-4 (W-L)
WLWLWWLLWW
Alexander Chang 9-1 (W-L)
WWWWWWWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sanhui Shin 1534 · Alexander Chang 1492
Sanhui ShinAlexander Chang
Our model56%44%
Market75%25%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sanhui Shin (rating 1534 vs 1492).
  • Note: Alexander Chang makes many double faults (4.2/match).

Statistics

Sanhui ShinAlexander Chang
Win %70%50%
Win % · Hard 63% (8) 33% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.81.4-1.1
Games (G-P)12-9.411.3-11.6
Aces2.15.1
Double faults1.34.2
1st serve %67%68.3%
Break %56%34.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sanhui Shin

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/07 Yuttana Charoenphon
M15 Bali
2-0 12-3 W
22/07 Gunawan Trismuwantara
M15 Bali
2-0 13-8 W
08/07 Naoki Nakagawa
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 8-12 L
05/07 Matthew Dellavedova
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
04/07 Kasidit Samrej
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-1 17-15 W
03/07 Omar Jasika
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
02/07 Sora Fukuda
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-1 18-14 W
30/06 Kousuke Ogura
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
30/05 Dong Ju Kim
M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
29/05 Yeonsu Jeong
M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W

Alexander Chang

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/07 Keisuke Saitoh
M15 Bali
2-0 13-8 W
22/07 Azuma Visaya
M15 Bali
2-0 13-8 W
08/07 Jack Anthrop
M15 Rancho Santa Fe
0-2 1-12 L
07/07 Connor Church
M15 Rancho Santa Fe
2-1 11-9 W
01/07 Aidan Kim
M15 San Diego · ~Hard
1-2 11-15 L
31/12 Spencer Johnson
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
1-2 14-17 L
29/12 Vlad Cristian Breazu
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
1-2 12-15 L
28/12 Cassius Chinlund
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
27/12 Justin Chung
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
05/10 Jacob Brumm
Challenger Fairfield · Hard
1-2 13-15 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sanhui Shin vs Alexander Chang?

Our model gives 66% to Sanhui Shin, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.