Tennis · M25 Ollersbach · 23/07, 11:30

Prediction: Tomas Lanik vs Marat Sharipov

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Prediction summary
Winner
37% 63%
Tomas Lanik Marat Sharipov
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Tomas Lanik 6-4 (W-L)
LWWLWLWLWW
Marat Sharipov 8-2 (W-L)
WLWWWWWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tomas Lanik 1547 · Marat Sharipov 1520
Tomas LanikMarat Sharipov
Our model54%46%
Market23%77%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Tomas LanikMarat Sharipov
Win %70%60%
Win % · Clay 50% (4) 50% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.71.5-0.9
Games (G-P)11.2-8.412.6-10.3
Aces5.85
Double faults2.43.4
1st serve %76.4%72.6%
Break %33.9%42%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tomas Lanik

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/07 Jan Hrazdil
M25 Ollersbach
2-0 12-2 W
21/07 Radovan Michalik
M25 Ollersbach
2-0 12-5 W
17/07 Gabriele Bosio
M15 Nova Gorica
0-2 7-13 L
16/07 Nicolas Parizzia
M15 Nova Gorica
2-0 12-7 W
15/07 Dominik Kellovsky
M15 Nova Gorica
2-1 14-11 W
14/07 Zeno Godi
M15 Nova Gorica
2-0 12-4 W
25/06 Aleksandr Braynin
M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay
1-2 13-18 L
24/06 Oskar Grzegorzewski
M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
23/06 Borys Zgola
M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W
17/06 Pietro Orlando Fellin
M15 Gyula · ~Clay
0-2 6-11 L

Marat Sharipov

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/07 Patrick Jozwicki
M25 Ollersbach
2-0 12-7 W
03/07 Marvin Moeller
Challenger Troyes · Clay
1-2 14-16 L
29/06 Cosme Rolland De Ravel
Challenger Troyes · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
13/06 Andrey Chepelev
M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay
1-2 16-14 L
13/06 Kirill Kivattsev
M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay
2-1 16-13 W
12/06 Drazen Petrovic
M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
10/06 Mirza Basic
M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
27/05 Simeon Stankovic
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 11-11 L
18/05 Daniel Michalski
Challenger Istanbul · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
03/05 Shinji Hazawa
Challenger Wuxi · Hard
2-0 12-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tomas Lanik vs Marat Sharipov?

Our model gives 63% to Marat Sharipov, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.