Tennis · M25 Denia · 23/07, 11:00

Prediction: Ignacio Parisca Romera vs Pavel Lagutin

Prediction summary
Winner
45% 55%
Ignacio Parisca Romera Pavel Lagutin
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Ignacio Parisca Romera 6-4 (W-L)
LWLWWWLWLW
Pavel Lagutin 8-2 (W-L)
WWLWWWWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ignacio Parisca Romera 1517 · Pavel Lagutin 1536
Ignacio Parisca RomeraPavel Lagutin
Our model47%53%
Market42%58%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Ignacio Parisca RomeraPavel Lagutin
Win %60%70%
Win % · Clay 57% (7) 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.2-0.91.5-0.7
Games (G-P)9.5-8.711.2-7.9
Aces0.80.8
Double faults3.21.8
1st serve %66.6%70.6%
Break %44.2%61.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ignacio Parisca Romera

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/07 Sergi Perez Contri
M25 Denia
2-0 13-8 W
16/07 Pablo Martinez Gomez
M25 Gandia
0-2 5-12 L
14/07 Pedro Rodenas
M25 Gandia
2-0 12-7 W
04/07 Carles Hernandez
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
03/07 Sergi Fita Juan
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-1 19-17 W
02/07 Jordi Garcia Mestre
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
30/06 Peru Bayo
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
22/06 Valentin Basel
Challenger Piracicaba · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
21/06 Victor Braga
Challenger Piracicaba · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
16/06 Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
0-2 2-12 L

Pavel Lagutin

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/07 Xavier Ferrer Mateo
M25 Denia
2-0 12-0 W
14/07 Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
13/07 Takuya Kumasaka
Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
12/07 Nicolas Tepmahc
Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard
2-1 14-12 W
30/06 Eliakim Coulibaly
Challenger Troyes · Clay
1-2 12-17 L
29/06 Franco Ribero
Challenger Troyes · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
28/06 Jan Kumstat
Challenger Troyes · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
15/06 Pietro Marino
M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
31/05 Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas
UTR Pro Match Series · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
30/05 Pavlos Tsitsipas
UTR Pro Match Series · Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ignacio Parisca Romera vs Pavel Lagutin?

Our model gives 55% to Pavel Lagutin, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.