Tennis · Challenger Zug · 24/07, 11:00
Prediction: Philip Henning vs Thiago Seyboth Wild
Prediction summary
Winner
Philip Henning
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Philip Henning
7-3 (W-L)
Thiago Seyboth Wild
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Philip Henning 1515 · Thiago Seyboth Wild 1587
| Philip Henning | Thiago Seyboth Wild | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thiago Seyboth Wild (rating 1515 vs 1587).
- Philip Henning dominates on serve: 6.3 aces and 43.8% break avg.
- Thiago Seyboth Wild dominates on serve: 7 aces and 65.3% break avg.
Statistics
| Philip Henning | Thiago Seyboth Wild | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-10 | 12.7-9.4 |
| Aces | 6.3 | 7 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 60.3% | 71.8% |
| Break % | 43.8% | 65.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Philip Henning
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Jerome Kym Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 21/07 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Andres Santamarta Roig Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Royan · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 07/06 | Alexander Donski Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 06/06 | Harold Mayot Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/06 | Giles Hussey Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 20/07 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/07 | Matyas Fuele Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 15/07 | Peter Makk Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 07/07 | Dalibor Svrcina Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Vincent Marysko Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/07 | Oliver Majdandzic Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/06 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/06 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/06 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Philip Henning vs Thiago Seyboth Wild?
Our model gives 61% to Thiago Seyboth Wild, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.