Tennis · W15 Gran Canaria · 23/07, 11:00
Prediction: Carlota Corte vs Kristina Novak
Prediction summary
Winner
Carlota Corte
Kristina Novak
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Carlota Corte
1-9 (W-L)
Kristina Novak
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carlota Corte 1408 · Kristina Novak 1480
| Carlota Corte | Kristina Novak | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 10% | 90% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kristina Novak (rating 1408 vs 1480).
- Kristina Novak is in better form: 40% recent wins.
- Note: Kristina Novak makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Carlota Corte | Kristina Novak | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (4) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.3-1.9 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 5.9-12 | 10.9-11.7 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 51.7% | 59.8% |
| Break % | 58.5% | 56.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carlota Corte
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Silvia Bosch Armas W15 Gran Canaria |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 12/07 | Liv Boulard W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 28/06 | Zoziya Kardava W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Meritxell Teixido Garcia W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Raquel Gonzalez Vilar W15 Ontinyent · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Marta Soriano Santiago W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Asylzhan Arystanbekova W15 Madrid |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Benedetta Ortenzi W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/04 | Miriana Tona WTA Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/03 | Emira Diabate W15 Hagetmau · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Kristina Novak
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Warona Mdlulwa W15 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/06 | Diana Marcinkevica W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 01/06 | Elizabeth Coleman W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 31/05 | Elizabeth Jurna W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 19/05 | Eva Vedder W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 13/05 | Ava Schueller W15 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 12/05 | Pauline Gloeckner W15 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/05 | Amelia Rajecki W35 Nottingham |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 06/05 | Sabastiani Leon W35 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/04 | Esther Adeshina W35 Nottingham |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carlota Corte vs Kristina Novak?
Our model gives 76% to Kristina Novak, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.