Tennis · M25 Denia MD · 23/07, 18:00
Prediction: Arce Fernandez/Talavera Cortes vs Mishkin/Shvets
Prediction summary
Winner
Arce Fernandez/Talavera Cortes
Mishkin/Shvets
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Arce Fernandez/Talavera Cortes
5-5 (W-L)
Mishkin/Shvets
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arce Fernandez/Talavera Cortes 1499 · Mishkin/Shvets 1462
| Arce Fernandez/Talavera Cortes | Mishkin/Shvets | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Arce Fernandez/Talavera Cortes | Mishkin/Shvets | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 0.7-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-10.4 | 9.2-12.5 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 71.5% | 70.1% |
| Break % | 26.8% | 44% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arce Fernandez/Talavera Cortes
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Blanchar/Garcia Mestre M25 Denia MD |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Allen/Puig Mccallan M25 Gandia MD |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Hammond/Huysmans M25 Gandia MD |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Garcia Mestre/Naharro M15 Getxo MD · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Garcia Mestre/Naharro M15 Mungia-Laukariz MD · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Cordoba/Planella Hernandez M15 Mungia-Laukariz MD · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/05 | Boulais/Pereira M25 Loule MD · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/04 | Hediger/Malirz M15 Ceuta MD · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/03 | Tammaro/Zanada M15 Antalya MD · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 19/02 | Heredia/Linde Palacios M15 Villena MD · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Mishkin/Shvets
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Munoz Fuster/Podczaszy M25 Denia MD |
2-1 | 8-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Bondioli/Caniato Challenger Cordenons MD · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 07/07 | Arcila/Berard M25 Bastia-Lucciana MD |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Alvarez Sarmiento/Garcia Carbajal M15 Getxo MD · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/05 | Neos/Pankin M25 Kutaisi MD · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/05 | Edengren/Martinez Gomez M25 Kutaisi MD · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/05 | De Felipe Garcia/Dominguez Alonso M25 Kutaisi MD · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 12/05 | Liu/Zeng M15 Wuning MD · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 29/04 | Fukuda/Vithoontien Challenger Shymkent MD · Clay |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 22/04 | Efstathiou/Mashtakov M15 Heraklion MD · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arce Fernandez/Talavera Cortes vs Mishkin/Shvets?
Our model gives 57% to Mishkin/Shvets, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.