Tennis · M25 Bacau · 23/07, 09:00

Prediction: Gabriele Thomas Brancatelli vs Sebastian Gima

Prediction summary
Winner
32% 68%
Gabriele Thomas Brancatelli Sebastian Gima
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Gabriele Thomas Brancatelli 3-7 (W-L)
LLWLLLWWLL
Sebastian Gima 5-5 (W-L)
LLWWWLWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gabriele Thomas Brancatelli 1505 · Sebastian Gima 1481
Gabriele Thomas BrancatelliSebastian Gima
Our model53%47%
Market14%86%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Gabriele Thomas BrancatelliSebastian Gima
Win %50%40%
Win % · Clay 67% (3) 40% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.31.1-1.1
Games (G-P)9.8-10.610.1-9.6
Aces1.42.1
Double faults2.32.4
1st serve %63.5%64.4%
Break %55.3%44.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gabriele Thomas Brancatelli

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/07 Andrea Brignacca
M25 Bacau
2-1 11-10 W
21/05 Maks Kasnikowski
M25 Bol · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
20/05 Aleksandar Lavrnja
M25 Bol · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
19/05 Valeriy Martishev
M25 Bol · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
07/04 Luke Hooper
M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
06/04 Cedric Stanke
M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-1 11-12 W
19/11 Noah Zamora
ITF M15 Tallahassee · Hard
1-2 15-18 L
14/09 Jorge Robinson
UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard
2-1 15-9 W
12/09 Vito Tonejc
UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
10/09 Jan Sebesta
UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard
0-2 6-13 L

Sebastian Gima

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/06 Guido Ivan Justo
Challenger Brasov · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
29/06 Radu Albot
Challenger Brasov · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
24/06 Andrej Nedic
Challenger Targu Mures · Clay
1-2 15-19 L
23/06 Denis Yevseyev
Challenger Targu Mures · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
22/06 Oriol Roca Batalla
Challenger Targu Mures · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
21/06 Adil Kalyanpur
Challenger Targu Mures · Clay
2-0 12-1 W
18/06 Edoardo Cherie Ligniere
M15 Constanta · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
17/06 Edoardo De Filippo
M15 Constanta · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
12/06 Anas Mazdrashki
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
1-2 14-17 L
11/06 Jeremy Gschwendtner
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
1-1 5-7 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gabriele Thomas Brancatelli vs Sebastian Gima?

Our model gives 68% to Sebastian Gima, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.