Tennis · M25 Ollersbach · 23/07, 10:00
Prediction: Vladyslav Orlov vs Jan Kumstat
Prediction summary
Winner
Vladyslav Orlov
Jan Kumstat
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Vladyslav Orlov
7-3 (W-L)
Jan Kumstat
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Vladyslav Orlov
0–1
Jan Kumstat
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vladyslav Orlov 1622 · Jan Kumstat 1539
| Vladyslav Orlov | Jan Kumstat | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vladyslav Orlov (rating 1622 vs 1539).
- Jan Kumstat dominates on serve: 8 aces and 48% break avg.
- Vladyslav Orlov is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Vladyslav Orlov 0–1 Jan Kumstat (1).
Statistics
| Vladyslav Orlov | Jan Kumstat | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.5 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-8.7 | 11.1-9.4 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 8 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.4% | 77.2% |
| Break % | 40.1% | 48% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Vladyslav Orlov 0 – 1 Jan Kumstat (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vladyslav Orlov 0–1 Jan Kumstat
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06/25 M25 Ceska Lipa | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vladyslav Orlov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Tomohiro Masabayashi M25 Ollersbach |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 19/07 | Max Wiskandt M25 Kramsach |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 18/07 | Lambert Ruland M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/07 | Luca Staeheli M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Facundo Yunis M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Nico Hipfl M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/07 | Petros Tsitsipas M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Jan Chlodnicki M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Jakub Vrtilka M15 Lodz |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 05/07 | Kalin Ivanovski M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-12 | L |
Jan Kumstat
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Yuichiro Inui M25 Ollersbach |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/07 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Thijs Boogaard Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/07 | Florian Broska Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 14/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/07 | Mateus Alves Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/07 | Leo Raquillet Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/06 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Duje Markovina M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Kai Wehnelt M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vladyslav Orlov vs Jan Kumstat?
Our model gives 53% to Jan Kumstat, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.