Tennis · M15 Brisbane · 23/07, 02:00
Prediction: Duje Markovina vs Blake Ellis
Prediction summary
Winner
Duje Markovina
Blake Ellis
Estimated games
23.7
Recent form · 10 last
Duje Markovina
3-7 (W-L)
Blake Ellis
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Duje Markovina 1504 · Blake Ellis 1476
| Duje Markovina | Blake Ellis | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Duje Markovina | Blake Ellis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-11.4 | 12.7-13.9 |
| Aces | 5.7 | 7.4 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 68.8% | 70% |
| Break % | 28.2% | 28.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Duje Markovina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Ashton Mcleod M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Jake Delaney M25 Brisbane |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Jan Kumstat M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/06 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Taym Alazmeh M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
0-1 | 11-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Marc Majdandzic M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 02/06 | Enrique Bogo M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 29/05 | Duje Ajdukovic M25 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Blake Ellis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Joshua Charlton M15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 16/07 | Benjamin O'Connell M25 Brisbane |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Hayden Jones M25 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/07 | Garrett Johns Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Ozan Baris Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 16/06 | Enzo Aguiard M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 11/06 | Sebastian Gorzny M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 10/06 | Alex Kobelt M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 03/06 | Andres Martin Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Duje Markovina vs Blake Ellis?
Our model gives 61% to Blake Ellis, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.