Tennis · M15 Brisbane · 23/07, 02:00
Prediction: Moerani Bouzige vs Yuki Mochizuki
Prediction summary
Winner
Moerani Bouzige
Yuki Mochizuki
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Moerani Bouzige
3-7 (W-L)
Yuki Mochizuki
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Moerani Bouzige
0–1
Yuki Mochizuki
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Moerani Bouzige 1488 · Yuki Mochizuki 1461
| Moerani Bouzige | Yuki Mochizuki | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Moerani Bouzige 0–1 Yuki Mochizuki (1).
- Note: Moerani Bouzige makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Moerani Bouzige | Yuki Mochizuki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-11.8 | 10.5-11.6 |
| Aces | 6.9 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 69.8% | 65.7% |
| Break % | 30.8% | 53.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
H2H · Moerani Bouzige 0 – 1 Yuki Mochizuki (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Moerani Bouzige 0–1 Yuki Mochizuki
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07/26 M15 Tokyo | 1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Moerani Bouzige
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Mustafa Ege Sik M15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 15/07 | Matt Hulme M25 Brisbane |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 08/07 | Yuki Mochizuki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 02/07 | Asahi Harazaki M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Taiyo Yamanaka M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Xirui Han M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 23/06 | Yuta Tomida M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/06 | Hoyoung Roh M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Duckhee Lee M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Dong Ju Kim M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
Yuki Mochizuki
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Charlie Camus M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Chase Ferguson M25 Brisbane |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Omar Jasika M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Ryota Tanuma M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Moerani Bouzige M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 01/07 | Shintaro Imai M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 17/06 | Takuya Kumasaka M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 09/06 | Taisei Ichikawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/05 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Wuxi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/04 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Shymkent · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Moerani Bouzige vs Yuki Mochizuki?
Our model gives 57% to Moerani Bouzige, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.