Tennis · M15 Brisbane · 23/07, 02:00
Prediction: Matthew Dellavedova vs Shinji Hazawa
Prediction summary
Winner
Matthew Dellavedova
Shinji Hazawa
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Matthew Dellavedova
8-2 (W-L)
Shinji Hazawa
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Matthew Dellavedova
0–1
Shinji Hazawa
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matthew Dellavedova 1568 · Shinji Hazawa 1434
| Matthew Dellavedova | Shinji Hazawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matthew Dellavedova (rating 1568 vs 1434).
- Matthew Dellavedova is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Matthew Dellavedova 0–1 Shinji Hazawa (1).
Statistics
| Matthew Dellavedova | Shinji Hazawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 86% (7) | 14% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-8.6 | 10.5-11.2 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 0.5 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 65.9% | 68.2% |
| Break % | 59.5% | 49% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
H2H · Matthew Dellavedova 0 – 1 Shinji Hazawa (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Matthew Dellavedova 0–1 Shinji Hazawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/02/26 Challenger Brisbane | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matthew Dellavedova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Hayden Jones M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Jeremy Beale M25 Brisbane |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 15/07 | Jeremy Zhang M25 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/07 | Omar Jasika M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Taiyo Yamanaka M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Yusuke Kusuhara M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 08/07 | Hiromasa Koyama M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 05/07 | Sanhui Shin M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/07 | Maximus Jones M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 03/07 | Koki Matsuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Shinji Hazawa
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Chen Dong M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/07 | Colin Sinclair M25 Brisbane |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 15/07 | Lachlan Mcfadzean M25 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Hikaru Shiraishi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Koki Matsuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Yuto Oki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Hikaru Shiraishi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Yuta Kikuchi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 26/05 | Yeonsu Jeong M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/05 | Yunseok Jang M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matthew Dellavedova vs Shinji Hazawa?
Our model gives 76% to Matthew Dellavedova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.