Tennis · M15 Bali · 23/07, 04:00

Prediction: Fitriadi M Rifqi vs Sam Ryan Ziegann

Prediction summary
Winner
76% 24%
Fitriadi M Rifqi Sam Ryan Ziegann
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Fitriadi M Rifqi 7-3 (W-L)
WWWLWWLLWW
Sam Ryan Ziegann 5-5 (W-L)
WLWWLWLLLW
Head-to-head
Fitriadi M Rifqi 1–1 Sam Ryan Ziegann (2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fitriadi M Rifqi 1621 · Sam Ryan Ziegann 1480
Fitriadi M RifqiSam Ryan Ziegann
Our model69%31%
Market81%19%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fitriadi M Rifqi (rating 1621 vs 1480).
  • Fitriadi M Rifqi is in better form: 90% recent wins.

Statistics

Fitriadi M RifqiSam Ryan Ziegann
Win %90%40%
Win % · Hard 89% (9) 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.9-0.41-1.3
Games (G-P)12.4-7.19.8-10.4
Aces2.73.2
Double faults2.52.8
1st serve %74.9%65.5%
Break %47%50.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.6

H2H · Fitriadi M Rifqi 11 Sam Ryan Ziegann (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fitriadi M Rifqi 11 Sam Ryan Ziegann

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DateSetsGamesRes.
17/03/25
ITF M15 Nonthaburi
2-013-7W
04/09/24
ITF M25 Bali
0-28-12L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fitriadi M Rifqi

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/07 Hitesh Chauhan
M15 Bali
2-0 12-5 W
19/07 Hoyoung Roh
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
18/07 Jangjun Kim
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-1 13-11 W
17/07 Noritaka Koizumi
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-1 18-7 W
16/07 Yan Cheng Chen
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
15/07 Thanaphat Boosarawongse
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
10/07 Arvid Nordquist
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
1-2 14-15 L
09/07 Min Hyuk Cho
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
08/07 Kaigaoge Kang
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 7-1 W
05/07 Amirkhamza Nasridinov
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 11-6 W

Sam Ryan Ziegann

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/07 Anthony Susanto
M15 Bali
2-0 12-3 W
05/07 William Jansen
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
0-2 3-12 L
02/07 Ioannis Kountourakis
M25 Skopje · ~Clay
1-2 13-17 L
18/06 John Hallquist Lithen
M15 Gyula · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
16/06 Stefan Seifert
M15 Gyula · ~Clay
2-1 14-15 W
10/06 Jeremy Gschwendtner
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
04/06 Imran Daniel Abdul Hazli
M15 Luan · ~Hard
1-2 16-16 L
03/06 Alexey Aleshchev
M15 Luan · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
28/05 Shu Muto
M15 Luan · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
27/05 He Ziheng
M15 Luan · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fitriadi M Rifqi vs Sam Ryan Ziegann?

Our model gives 76% to Fitriadi M Rifqi, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.