Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 23/07, 02:00
Prediction: Finn Willman vs Dev Mangat
Prediction summary
Winner
Finn Willman
Dev Mangat
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Finn Willman
4-6 (W-L)
Dev Mangat
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Finn Willman
1–0
Dev Mangat
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Finn Willman 1402 · Dev Mangat 1493
| Finn Willman | Dev Mangat | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dev Mangat (rating 1402 vs 1493).
- Dev Mangat is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Finn Willman 1–0 Dev Mangat (1).
- Note: Dev Mangat makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Finn Willman | Dev Mangat | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (7) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.6 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.1-12.5 | 9.1-9.5 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 58.1% | 61.2% |
| Break % | 34.2% | 47.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
H2H · Finn Willman 1 – 0 Dev Mangat (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Finn Willman 1–0 Dev Mangat
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/05/25 UTR Pro Newport Beach | 2-1 | 18-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Finn Willman
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | David Duong UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Evan Lee UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Otto Schreiner UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 03/07 | Tomas Quesada Perez UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/12 | Preston Brown ITF M15 Tauranga · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/12 | Christian Langmo ITF M15 Hamilton |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/12 | Cody Atkinson ITF M15 Hamilton |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 07/12 | Kosuke Shibano ITF M15 Hamilton |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/10 | Naara Shin UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 17/10 | Michael Kaplan UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Dev Mangat
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Evan Lee UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/05 | Tomas Quesada Perez UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/05 | Rohan Sachdev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/04 | Dylan Varughese UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/04 | Adam Chodur UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 28/04 | Liam Alvarez UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/03 | Harrison Gold UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/03 | Miles Clark UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/03 | Pavel Bushuev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/02 | Alexander Guajardo UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Finn Willman vs Dev Mangat?
Our model gives 66% to Dev Mangat, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.