Tennis · M25 Champaign · 22/07, 18:30
Prediction: Billy Suarez vs Mitchell Sheldon
Prediction summary
Winner
Billy Suarez
Mitchell Sheldon
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Billy Suarez
4-6 (W-L)
Mitchell Sheldon
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Billy Suarez 1462 · Mitchell Sheldon 1536
| Billy Suarez | Mitchell Sheldon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mitchell Sheldon (rating 1462 vs 1536).
- Mitchell Sheldon is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Billy Suarez | Mitchell Sheldon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.4 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.5-11 | 10.9-9 |
| Aces | 5 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 70.9% | 70.1% |
| Break % | 30.8% | 35.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Billy Suarez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Mees Rottgering M25 Dallas |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 18/06 | Bryce Nakashima M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/04 | Millen Hurrion Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/04 | William Bushamuka Challenger Abidjan Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/04 | Miles Jones M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/04 | Lars Goran Verwerft M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/03 | Olaf Pieczkowski M25 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/03 | Andreja Petrovic M25 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/03 | Oliver Okonkwo M15 Sherbrooke |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/02 | Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros M15 San Jose |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Mitchell Sheldon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Colter Amey M25 Champaign |
2-1 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/07 | William Manning M25 Louisville |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Maximus Dussault M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 27/06 | Jose Garcia UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 25/06 | Carson Baker UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Nathan Pitts UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Nicholas Mangiapane UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/06 | David Krasner UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/06 | Nischal Spurling UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Santiago Padilla Cote UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Billy Suarez vs Mitchell Sheldon?
Our model gives 54% to Billy Suarez, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.