Tennis · WTA Palermo · 22/07, 18:30
Prediction: Clara Burel vs Federica Urgesi
Prediction summary
Winner
Clara Burel
Federica Urgesi
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Clara Burel
4-6 (W-L)
Federica Urgesi
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Clara Burel 1543 · Federica Urgesi 1539
| Clara Burel | Federica Urgesi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Clara Burel | Federica Urgesi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-9 | 11.8-9.7 |
| Aces | 1 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 66.1% | 59.7% |
| Break % | 49.1% | 46.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Clara Burel
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Anastasia Abbagnato WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/07 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/07 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 09/07 | Alicia Herrero Linana WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Petra Marcinko WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Despina Papamichail W75 Blois · ~Clay |
0-1 | 3-6 | L |
| 16/06 | Jana Otzipka W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 14/06 | Jenny Lim W35 Nice |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 13/06 | Maria Sara Popa W35 Nice |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Federica Urgesi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 15/07 | Francesca Jones WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/07 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Arantxa Rus W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Lucija Ciric Bagaric W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Katerina Tsygourova W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Tamara Zidansek WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Alessandra Mazzola W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 06/06 | Deborah Chiesa W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/06 | Marta Lombardini W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Clara Burel vs Federica Urgesi?
Our model gives 62% to Clara Burel, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.