Tennis · W15 Nogent-sur-Marne · 23/07, 10:00

Prediction: Cindy Langlais vs Kim Chiarello

Prediction summary
Winner
62% 38%
Cindy Langlais Kim Chiarello
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Cindy Langlais 4-6 (W-L)
LLWLLLWWLW
Kim Chiarello 3-7 (W-L)
LLWWLWLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cindy Langlais 1520 · Kim Chiarello 1455
Cindy LanglaisKim Chiarello
Our model59%41%
Market65%35%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cindy Langlais (rating 1520 vs 1455).
  • Cindy Langlais is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Note: Kim Chiarello makes many double faults (6.2/match).

Statistics

Cindy LanglaisKim Chiarello
Win %60%30%
Win % · Clay 50% (6) 25% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.4-1.10.9-1.5
Games (G-P)12.3-11.39.5-11.5
Aces1.21.2
Double faults3.16.2
1st serve %59.4%58.9%
Break %45%42.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cindy Langlais

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/07 Allegra Korpanec Davies
W15 Nogent-sur-Marne
2-0 13-8 W
16/07 Luca Udvardy
W15 Krsko
0-2 11-14 L
15/07 Ava Schueller
W15 Krsko
2-0 12-4 W
14/07 Petja Drame
W15 Krsko
2-1 12-8 W
30/05 Franziska Sziedat
W15 Oliva · ~Clay
1-2 13-18 L
29/05 Raquel Caballero Chica
W15 Oliva · ~Clay
2-1 16-14 W
28/05 Carolina Kuhl
W15 Oliva · ~Clay
2-1 19-16 W
27/05 Sofia Kova
W15 Oliva · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
19/05 Denisa Zoldakova
W15 Grado · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
05/05 Sara Milanese
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
1-2 9-13 L

Kim Chiarello

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/07 Lisa Claeys
W15 Nogent-sur-Marne
2-1 17-14 W
16/06 Diana Martynov
W75 Blois · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
15/06 Sara Cakarevic
W75 Blois · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
10/03 Maria Garcia Cid
W15 Gonesse · ~Clay
0-2 2-11 L
09/03 Charlotte Cora Bruneton
W15 Gonesse · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
02/03 Jahnie Van Zyl
W15 Hagetmau · ~Hard
1-2 9-11 L
01/03 Lena Thomas Iglesias
W15 Hagetmau · ~Hard
2-0 13-6 W
15/02 Massiva Boukirat
W50 Macon · ~Hard
1-2 12-15 L
08/02 Weronika Ewald
W50 Grenoble · ~Hard
1-2 9-18 L
16/11 Ekaterina Ovcharenko
ITF W75 Petange · Hard
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cindy Langlais vs Kim Chiarello?

Our model gives 62% to Cindy Langlais, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.