Tennis · M25 Metzingen · 22/07, 15:00
Prediction: Niels Ratiu vs Aristotelis Thanos
Prediction summary
Winner
Niels Ratiu
Aristotelis Thanos
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Niels Ratiu
3-7 (W-L)
Aristotelis Thanos
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Niels Ratiu 1462 · Aristotelis Thanos 1530
| Niels Ratiu | Aristotelis Thanos | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aristotelis Thanos (rating 1462 vs 1530).
- Note: Aristotelis Thanos makes many double faults (6.4/match).
Statistics
| Niels Ratiu | Aristotelis Thanos | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-12.2 | 12.4-10.1 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 6.4 |
| 1st serve % | 73.6% | 71.8% |
| Break % | 38.3% | 49.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Niels Ratiu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Isac Stroemberg M25 Metzingen |
2-1 | 10-8 | W |
| 05/07 | Kasra Rahmani Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Jannik Opitz M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 24/06 | Fadi Bidan M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Pieter De Lange M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 16/06 | Adrian Oetzbach M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 15/06 | Santiago Franchini M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/10 | Pedro Rodrigues ITF M15 Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Emilien Demanet ITF M15 Eupen · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Fadi Bidan ITF M15 Eupen · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Aristotelis Thanos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Fons Van Sambeek M25 The Hague |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Niels McDonald M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 12/06 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 11/06 | Jonathan Mridha M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 10/06 | John Hallquist Lithen M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/05 | Denis Klok M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 29/05 | Vuk Radjenovic M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-10 | W |
| 28/05 | Lorenzo Gagliardo M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/05 | Mark Laubic M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/11 | Arthur Fery Challenger Athens · Hard |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Niels Ratiu vs Aristotelis Thanos?
Our model gives 67% to Aristotelis Thanos, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.