Tennis · Challenger Zug · 23/07, 11:00
Prediction: Max Alcala Gurri vs Dylan Dietrich
Prediction summary
Winner
Max Alcala Gurri
Dylan Dietrich
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Max Alcala Gurri
6-4 (W-L)
Dylan Dietrich
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Max Alcala Gurri 1594 · Dylan Dietrich 1556
| Max Alcala Gurri | Dylan Dietrich | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Max Alcala Gurri | Dylan Dietrich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-8.6 | 12.5-9.8 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 5 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 71% | 75.5% |
| Break % | 48.3% | 41.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Max Alcala Gurri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Martin Krumich Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 19/07 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/07 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 17/07 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/07 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Giorgio Tabacco Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/07 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 25/06 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Dylan Dietrich
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 14/07 | Jerome Kym ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 12/07 | Thiago Monteiro ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 11/07 | Otto Virtanen ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 28/06 | Max Hans Rehberg M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Marvin Moeller M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/06 | Fadi Bidan M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
| 25/06 | Robert Strombachs M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Adan Freire Da Silva M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Max Alcala Gurri vs Dylan Dietrich?
Our model gives 50% to Max Alcala Gurri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.