Tennis · UTR Pro Waco · 23/07, 18:00

Prediction: Leo Pade vs Gordon Gallagher

Prediction summary
Winner
53% 47%
Leo Pade Gordon Gallagher
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Leo Pade 6-4 (W-L)
LWWLWLWWLW
Gordon Gallagher 5-5 (W-L)
WLWLLWLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Leo Pade 1517 · Gordon Gallagher 1472
Leo PadeGordon Gallagher
Our model56%44%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leo Pade (rating 1517 vs 1472).

Statistics

Leo PadeGordon Gallagher
Win %50%40%
Win % · Hard 50% (10) 40% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.2-11.1-1.3
Games (G-P)10.8-9.710.8-10.7
Aces0.40.9
Double faults3.43.6
1st serve %58.2%59.6%
Break %47.8%48.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Leo Pade

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/07 William McEwan
UTR Pro Waco · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
21/07 Tomas Jirousek
UTR Pro Waco · Hard
1-2 10-13 L
01/01 Claudio Renardi Lumanau
ITF M25 Bali · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
31/12 Robin Eldin
ITF M25 Bali · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
30/12 Enzo Aguiard
ITF M25 Bali · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
29/12 Bryan Dickson
ITF M25 Bali · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
20/12 Nikolas Baker
UTR Pro Craigieburn · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
17/12 Luca Connaughton
UTR Pro Craigieburn · Hard
1-2 16-16 L
16/12 Matt Hulme
UTR Pro Craigieburn · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
15/12 Enzo Aguiard
UTR Pro Craigieburn · Hard
0-2 4-12 L

Gordon Gallagher

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/07 Tomas Jirousek
UTR Pro Waco · Hard
1-2 10-16 L
21/07 Aditya Govila
UTR Pro Waco · Hard
1-2 15-19 L
27/06 Noey Do
UTR Pro Waco · Hard
1-2 9-14 L
26/06 Ian Bracks
UTR Pro Waco · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
25/06 Nicolas Iantosca
UTR Pro Waco · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
24/06 Esunge Ndumbe
UTR Pro Waco · Hard
2-1 16-10 W
23/06 Tomas Jirousek
UTR Pro Waco · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
24/04 Niko Klyachkin
UTR Pro Clemson · Hard
2-0 12-1 W
23/04 Cooper Johnson
UTR Pro Clemson · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
23/04 Harrison Kemp
UTR Pro Clemson · Hard
2-0 12-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Leo Pade vs Gordon Gallagher?

Our model gives 53% to Leo Pade, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.