Tennis · Challenger Zug · 22/07, 11:30
Prediction: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Anton Matusevich
Prediction summary
Winner
Alvaro Guillen Meza
Anton Matusevich
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Alvaro Guillen Meza
4-6 (W-L)
Anton Matusevich
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alvaro Guillen Meza 1423 · Anton Matusevich 1542
| Alvaro Guillen Meza | Anton Matusevich | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anton Matusevich (rating 1423 vs 1542).
- Anton Matusevich is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Alvaro Guillen Meza makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Alvaro Guillen Meza | Anton Matusevich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (10) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.7 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-15.3 | 11.6-9.4 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 5.6 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 62.2% | 77.3% |
| Break % | 56.4% | 39.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alvaro Guillen Meza
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 06/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 29/06 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Radu Mihai Papoe Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 11/06 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 09/06 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 19/05 | Colton Smith French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 04/05 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Francavilla · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Anton Matusevich
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/07 | Luca Staeheli Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/07 | Nikola Djosic Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/07 | Max Wiskandt M25 Kassel |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 09/07 | Michael Agwi M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Aryan Shah M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Rei Sakamoto Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 15/06 | Arthur Gea Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Soonwoo Kwon Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Anton Matusevich?
Our model gives 58% to Anton Matusevich, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.