Tennis · M15 Brisbane · 22/07, 05:00

Prediction: Yuki Mochizuki vs Charlie Camus

Prediction summary
Winner
59% 41%
Yuki Mochizuki Charlie Camus
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Yuki Mochizuki 2-8 (W-L)
LLLLLLWWLL
Charlie Camus 6-4 (W-L)
LWWLWWLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yuki Mochizuki 1454 · Charlie Camus 1467
Yuki MochizukiCharlie Camus
Our model48%52%
Market69%31%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Yuki MochizukiCharlie Camus
Win %30%30%
Win % · Hard 29% (7) 40% (5)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.60.9-1.4
Games (G-P)10.8-12.59.1-10.3
Aces4.32.7
Double faults1.62.2
1st serve %65.3%61.1%
Break %50.4%29.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yuki Mochizuki

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/07 Chase Ferguson
M25 Brisbane
0-2 6-12 L
10/07 Omar Jasika
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
09/07 Ryota Tanuma
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
08/07 Moerani Bouzige
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-1 16-13 W
01/07 Shintaro Imai
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
1-2 13-16 L
17/06 Takuya Kumasaka
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
1-2 14-15 L
09/06 Taisei Ichikawa
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
03/05 Philip Sekulic
Challenger Wuxi · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
27/04 Gerard Campana Lee
Challenger Shymkent · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
26/04 Anton Chekhov
Challenger Shymkent · Clay
2-1 15-14 W

Charlie Camus

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/07 Cody Atkinson
M15 Brisbane
2-0 12-3 W
15/07 Joshua Charlton
M25 Brisbane
0-2 5-12 L
14/07 Ymerali Ibraimi
M25 Brisbane
1-2 8-9 L
28/06 Jay Friend
Challenger Cary · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
24/05 Mitch Stewart
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
1-2 12-13 L
22/05 Pavel Bushuev
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
20/05 Karl Kazuma Lee
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
19/05 Antreas Djakouris
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
13/08 Hayden Jones
ITF M15 Brisbane
1-2 14-16 L
07/08 Dane Sweeny
ITF M15 Brisbane
0-2 4-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yuki Mochizuki vs Charlie Camus?

Our model gives 59% to Yuki Mochizuki, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.