Tennis · M15 Rognac · 22/07, 10:00
Prediction: Loan Lestir vs Timofei Derepasko
Prediction summary
Winner
Loan Lestir
Timofei Derepasko
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Loan Lestir
6-4 (W-L)
Timofei Derepasko
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Loan Lestir 1520 · Timofei Derepasko 1487
| Loan Lestir | Timofei Derepasko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Loan Lestir | Timofei Derepasko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-10.5 | 10.5-10.4 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 66.5% | 70.6% |
| Break % | 57.3% | 33.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Loan Lestir
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Niels Villard M15 Rognac |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 25/06 | Keshav Chopra M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Muzammil Murtaza M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Reid Jarvis M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Keshav Chopra M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/05 | Izan Almazan Valiente M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-11 | L |
| 28/05 | Aziz Ouakaa M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/05 | Tiago Pires M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 26/05 | Henry Dornbusch M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/05 | Joao Dinis Silva M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Timofei Derepasko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Pierre Delage M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Mattias Pisanu M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/07 | Marko Milosavljevic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 05/07 | Dusan Obradovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/07 | Semen Pankin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/07 | Andrea De Marchi M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/07 | Boris Butulija M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Luc Wieland M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Matteo Mesaglio M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 02/06 | Daniel Phillips M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Loan Lestir vs Timofei Derepasko?
Our model gives 57% to Timofei Derepasko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.