Tennis · W100 Evansville · 22/07, 17:00
Prediction: Emerson Jones vs Iryna Shymanovich
Prediction summary
Winner
Emerson Jones
Iryna Shymanovich
Estimated games
24
Recent form · 10 last
Emerson Jones
6-4 (W-L)
Iryna Shymanovich
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Emerson Jones
1–0
Iryna Shymanovich
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Emerson Jones 1477 · Iryna Shymanovich 1535
| Emerson Jones | Iryna Shymanovich | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Iryna Shymanovich (rating 1477 vs 1535).
- Head-to-head: Emerson Jones 1–0 Iryna Shymanovich (1).
- Note: Emerson Jones makes many double faults (6.4/match).
Statistics
| Emerson Jones | Iryna Shymanovich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 25% (4) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-12.8 | 12.4-11.2 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 6.4 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 63.6% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 53% | 53.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24
H2H · Emerson Jones 1 – 0 Iryna Shymanovich (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Emerson Jones 1–0 Iryna Shymanovich
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/25 ITF W50 Rancho Sante Fe | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Emerson Jones
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Anastasia Gasanova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Linda Fruhvirtova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Dalma Galfi WTA Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 02/06 | Mika Stojsavljevic WTA Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 25/05 | Iga Swiatek French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/05 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew W100 Gifu · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/05 | Taylah Preston W100 Gifu · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 30/04 | Ayano Shimizu W100 Gifu · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/04 | Gabriela Knutson W100 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 21/04 | Ena Koike W100 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Iryna Shymanovich
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Mary Stoiana WTA Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 08/07 | Hayu Kinoshita WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Viktorija Golubic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 25/06 | Katherine Sebov Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 24/06 | Greet Minnen Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Dominika Salkova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 10/06 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 08/06 | Clervie Ngounoue WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/06 | Savannah Dada Mascoll WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/06 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Foggia · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Emerson Jones vs Iryna Shymanovich?
Our model gives 54% to Emerson Jones, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.