Tennis · W15 Cluj Napoca · 22/07, 09:00
Prediction: Ilinca Sagmar vs Giulia Safina Popa
Prediction summary
Winner
Ilinca Sagmar
Giulia Safina Popa
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Ilinca Sagmar
5-5 (W-L)
Giulia Safina Popa
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ilinca Sagmar
0–2
Giulia Safina Popa
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ilinca Sagmar 1474 · Giulia Safina Popa 1597
| Ilinca Sagmar | Giulia Safina Popa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 67% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Giulia Safina Popa (rating 1474 vs 1597).
- Giulia Safina Popa is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Ilinca Sagmar 0–2 Giulia Safina Popa (2).
- Note: Giulia Safina Popa makes many double faults (7.8/match).
Statistics
| Ilinca Sagmar | Giulia Safina Popa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.6-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.4-9.7 | 10.4-7.3 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 7.8 |
| 1st serve % | 57.8% | 59.6% |
| Break % | 53.4% | 52.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
H2H · Ilinca Sagmar 0 – 2 Giulia Safina Popa (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ilinca Sagmar 0–2 Giulia Safina Popa
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/25 ITF W15 Varna | 0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 14/05/25 W15 Bucharest | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ilinca Sagmar
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni W35 Buzau |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Marta Soriano Santiago W15 Galati · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Alexia Lavinia Puiac W15 Galati · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Iulia Maria Buculei W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-17 | L |
| 17/06 | Laura Brunkel W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Alessandra Anghel W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/05 | Elena Korokozidi W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 13/05 | Chiara Fornasieri W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 09/03 | Sofiia Nagornaia W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 08/03 | Anna Jakovleva W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-0 | W |
Giulia Safina Popa
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Chiara Fornasieri W15 Galati · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/06 | Anastasia Safta W15 Galati · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 26/06 | Irina Fetecau W15 Galati · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Ioana Stefania Boian W15 Galati · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Sofia Maria Barbulescu W15 Galati · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/06 | Alesia Breaz W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Melinda Biro W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/05 | Radka Zelnickova W15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Melinda Biro W15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/05 | Anastasija Adeikyte W15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
2-1 | 8-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ilinca Sagmar vs Giulia Safina Popa?
Our model gives 74% to Giulia Safina Popa, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.