Tennis · W15 Cluj Napoca · 22/07, 09:00
Prediction: Alesia Breaz vs Agnese Gentili
Prediction summary
Winner
Alesia Breaz
Agnese Gentili
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Alesia Breaz
5-5 (W-L)
Agnese Gentili
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alesia Breaz 1550 · Agnese Gentili 1479
| Alesia Breaz | Agnese Gentili | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alesia Breaz (rating 1550 vs 1479).
- Alesia Breaz is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Alesia Breaz makes many double faults (6.3/match).
Statistics
| Alesia Breaz | Agnese Gentili | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 0.8-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-10.2 | 8.9-10.2 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 6.3 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 54.9% | 57.4% |
| Break % | 55.9% | 48% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alesia Breaz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Pia Lovric W35 Buzau |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Kaat Coppez W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/07 | Anastasia Safta W35 Buzau |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 25/06 | Sara Victoria Balan W15 Galati · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 23/06 | Ingrid Ioana Sanduleasa W15 Galati · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/06 | Daria Yesypchuk W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Giulia Safina Popa W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Lavinia Luciano W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/04 | Mia Horvit UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 18/04 | Simona Ogescu UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Agnese Gentili
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Aneta Laboutkova W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Natalija Senic W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Anna-Lena Ebster W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Noemi La Cagnina W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Elena Korokozidi W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 21/05 | Daria Yesypchuk W15 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Carolin Raschdorf W15 Grado · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 19/05 | Lucia Ros Parres W15 Grado · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/04 | Gaia Maduzzi W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/11 | Katerina Tsygourova ITF W15 Solarino |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alesia Breaz vs Agnese Gentili?
Our model gives 71% to Alesia Breaz, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.