Tennis · Challenger Zug · 21/07, 12:30
Prediction: Cezar Cretu vs Anton Matusevich
Prediction summary
Winner
Cezar Cretu
Anton Matusevich
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Cezar Cretu
6-4 (W-L)
Anton Matusevich
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cezar Cretu 1490 · Anton Matusevich 1539
| Cezar Cretu | Anton Matusevich | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anton Matusevich (rating 1490 vs 1539).
Statistics
| Cezar Cretu | Anton Matusevich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-11.1 | 12.1-10.3 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 5.8 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 65.7% | 74.6% |
| Break % | 38.9% | 38.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cezar Cretu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 07/07 | Alex Marti Pujolras Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Olle Wallin Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 26/06 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 25/06 | Niels McDonald Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/06 | Akira Santillan Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/06 | Jacopo Vasami Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 31/05 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Anton Matusevich
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Luca Staeheli Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/07 | Nikola Djosic Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/07 | Max Wiskandt M25 Kassel |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 09/07 | Michael Agwi M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Aryan Shah M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Rei Sakamoto Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 15/06 | Arthur Gea Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Soonwoo Kwon Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/06 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cezar Cretu vs Anton Matusevich?
Our model gives 54% to Cezar Cretu, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.