Tennis · Challenger Zug · 21/07, 11:00
Prediction: Alexander Donski vs Max Hans Rehberg
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Donski
Max Hans Rehberg
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Donski
5-5 (W-L)
Max Hans Rehberg
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alexander Donski
0–1
Max Hans Rehberg
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Donski 1538 · Max Hans Rehberg 1565
| Alexander Donski | Max Hans Rehberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Alexander Donski dominates on serve: 7.1 aces and 46.8% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Alexander Donski 0–1 Max Hans Rehberg (1).
Statistics
| Alexander Donski | Max Hans Rehberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-10.3 | 12.3-8.9 |
| Aces | 7.1 | 3 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 75.1% | 76.5% |
| Break % | 46.8% | 45.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Alexander Donski 0 – 1 Max Hans Rehberg (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alexander Donski 0–1 Max Hans Rehberg
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06/26 Challenger Poznan | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Donski
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/07 | Marko Topo Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 06/07 | Jiri Cizek Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/07 | Erik Grevelius Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Filip Pieczonka Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Philip Henning Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 06/06 | Khololwam Montsi Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Max Hans Rehberg
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Jan Choinski Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 06/07 | Moise Kouame Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/06 | Dylan Dietrich M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/06 | Olle Wallin M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 26/06 | Samuele Pieri M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 25/06 | Gregoire Delattre M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/06 | Louis Mouffe M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-4 | W |
| 16/06 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Poznan · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 15/06 | Alexander Donski Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Donski vs Max Hans Rehberg?
Our model gives 67% to Max Hans Rehberg, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.