Tennis · Challenger Zug · 21/07, 16:30
Prediction: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Francesco Passaro
Prediction summary
Winner
Dominic Stephan Stricker
Francesco Passaro
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Dominic Stephan Stricker
6-4 (W-L)
Francesco Passaro
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dominic Stephan Stricker 1560 · Francesco Passaro 1483
| Dominic Stephan Stricker | Francesco Passaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dominic Stephan Stricker (rating 1560 vs 1483).
- Dominic Stephan Stricker dominates on serve: 6 aces and 51.7% break avg.
- Dominic Stephan Stricker is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Dominic Stephan Stricker | Francesco Passaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-9.2 | 11.4-12.5 |
| Aces | 6 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 76.6% | 66.2% |
| Break % | 51.7% | 34.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dominic Stephan Stricker
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/07 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/07 | Alexander Shevchenko ATP Gstaad · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Jaume Munar ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Philip Henning Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/06 | Kai Wehnelt M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Niklas Schell M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 17/06 | Alessandro Hunziker M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/06 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/06 | Adrian Oetzbach Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Francesco Passaro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Martin Krumich ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Maks Kasnikowski ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Daniel Michalski Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Niels McDonald Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 23/06 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/06 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/02 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Rio De Janeiro · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 17/02 | Dino Prizmic ATP Rio De Janeiro · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Francesco Passaro?
Our model gives 58% to Dominic Stephan Stricker, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.