Tennis · Challenger Zug · 21/07, 12:30
Prediction: Juan Bautista Torres vs Henry Bernet
Prediction summary
Winner
Juan Bautista Torres
Henry Bernet
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Bautista Torres
2-8 (W-L)
Henry Bernet
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juan Bautista Torres 1490 · Henry Bernet 1566
| Juan Bautista Torres | Henry Bernet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Henry Bernet (rating 1490 vs 1566).
- Henry Bernet is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Juan Bautista Torres | Henry Bernet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-12.1 | 13.7-10.3 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 5.2 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 62.3% | 74.9% |
| Break % | 42.4% | 58.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Bautista Torres
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/07 | Nicola Senn Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/07 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/06 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Alex Hernandez Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 10/06 | Carlos Maria Zarate Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/05 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Henry Bernet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 10/07 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 09/07 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 07/07 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 06/07 | Andrej Martin Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/07 | Leonardo Iemmi Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/06 | Marcello Serafini M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 19/06 | Sandro Kopp M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Flynn Thomas M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Jan Sebesta M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juan Bautista Torres vs Henry Bernet?
Our model gives 57% to Henry Bernet, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.