Tennis · Challenger Zug · 21/07, 14:00
Prediction: Miguel Damas vs Mika Brunold
Prediction summary
Winner
Miguel Damas
Mika Brunold
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Miguel Damas
4-6 (W-L)
Mika Brunold
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Miguel Damas
3–0
Mika Brunold
(3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Miguel Damas 1543 · Mika Brunold 1486
| Miguel Damas | Mika Brunold | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Miguel Damas (rating 1543 vs 1486).
- Head-to-head: Miguel Damas 3–0 Mika Brunold (3).
Statistics
| Miguel Damas | Mika Brunold | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-11 | 11.9-13.2 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 60.3% | 62.8% |
| Break % | 69.2% | 59.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
H2H · Miguel Damas 3 – 0 Mika Brunold (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Miguel Damas 3–0 Mika Brunold
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/04/26 Challenger Mauthausen | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/04/26 Challenger Rome | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/09/25 Challenger Targu Mures | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Miguel Damas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Thomas Faurel ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 12/07 | Nikola Slavic ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/07 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 06/07 | Harold Huens Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/06 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Roberto Carballes Baena Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Mika Brunold
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Mili Poljicak Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 19/07 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 14/07 | Ryan Nijboer Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 31/05 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 26/05 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 25/05 | Laurent Lokoli Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/05 | Daniele Rapagnetta Challenger Francavilla · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 30/04 | Miguel Damas Challenger Mauthausen · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Alex Barrena Challenger Mauthausen · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Miguel Damas vs Mika Brunold?
Our model gives 56% to Miguel Damas, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.