Tennis · W15 Brisbane · 21/07, 03:30
Prediction: Carolann Delaunay vs Lily Fairclough
Prediction summary
Winner
Carolann Delaunay
Lily Fairclough
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Carolann Delaunay
3-7 (W-L)
Lily Fairclough
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carolann Delaunay 1462 · Lily Fairclough 1534
| Carolann Delaunay | Lily Fairclough | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lily Fairclough (rating 1462 vs 1534).
- Note: Carolann Delaunay makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Carolann Delaunay | Lily Fairclough | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.6 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-12.4 | 10.5-9.9 |
| Aces | 1 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 5 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 53.7% | 57.9% |
| Break % | 47.1% | 69.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carolann Delaunay
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Malaylack D Pathummakuronen Billie Jean King Cup |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 18/06 | Shaira Hope Rivera Billie Jean King Cup |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 17/06 | Eva Marie Desvignes Billie Jean King Cup |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 16/06 | Cheuk Ying Shek Billie Jean King Cup |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Safina Khabibrakhmanova Billie Jean King Cup |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 13/05 | Anchisa Chanta W15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/04 | Dayeon Back W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Arina Varaksina W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/04 | Hee Rae Im W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-12 | W |
| 15/04 | Junhan Zhang W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Lily Fairclough
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Stefani Webb W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Jasmine Adams W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 03/07 | Eduarda Piai UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Sabritt Dozier UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Emily Meng UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Ayana Akli W35 Rome |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Maria Kononova W35 Rome |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Salma Ewing W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 09/06 | Avery Nguyen W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 30/05 | Salma Loudili UTR Pro San Luis Obispo Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carolann Delaunay vs Lily Fairclough?
Our model gives 73% to Lily Fairclough, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.