Prediction: Taisei Ichikawa vs Jumpei Yamasaki
Prediction summary
Winner
Taisei Ichikawa
Jumpei Yamasaki
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Taisei Ichikawa
4-6 (W-L)
Jumpei Yamasaki
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Taisei Ichikawa
0–1
Jumpei Yamasaki
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Taisei Ichikawa 1468 · Jumpei Yamasaki 1542
| Taisei Ichikawa | Jumpei Yamasaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jumpei Yamasaki (rating 1468 vs 1542).
- Head-to-head: Taisei Ichikawa 0–1 Jumpei Yamasaki (1).
Statistics
| Taisei Ichikawa | Jumpei Yamasaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.2-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-11.9 | 9.5-8.3 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 73.1% |
| Break % | 43.2% | 43.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
H2H · Taisei Ichikawa 0 – 1 Jumpei Yamasaki (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Taisei Ichikawa 0–1 Jumpei Yamasaki
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/02/25 M15 Maanshan | 0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Taisei Ichikawa
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Makoto Ochi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Kasidit Samrej M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Hunter Heck M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/06 | Jangjun Kim M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 15/06 | Ryota Tanuma M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 12/06 | Naoya Honda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 11/06 | Takuya Kumasaka M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 09/06 | Yuki Mochizuki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/05 | Yeonsu Jeong M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Yuto Oki M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Jumpei Yamasaki
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06 | Jangjun Kim M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Hayden Jones M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Colin Sinclair M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/06 | Asahi Harazaki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/05 | Leo Vithoontien M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Ryo Minakata M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/05 | Takuya Kumasaka M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Abhinav Sanjeev Shanmugam M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/05 | Krittin Koaykul M25 Nakhon Pathom Qual · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 30/04 | Masamichi Imamura M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Taisei Ichikawa vs Jumpei Yamasaki?
Our model gives 53% to Jumpei Yamasaki, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.