Tennis · WTA Palermo · 21/07, 17:00
Prediction: Noemi Basiletti vs Tyra Caterina Grant
Prediction summary
Winner
Noemi Basiletti
Tyra Caterina Grant
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Noemi Basiletti
6-4 (W-L)
Tyra Caterina Grant
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Noemi Basiletti
0–1
Tyra Caterina Grant
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Noemi Basiletti 1504 · Tyra Caterina Grant 1566
| Noemi Basiletti | Tyra Caterina Grant | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tyra Caterina Grant (rating 1504 vs 1566).
- Head-to-head: Noemi Basiletti 0–1 Tyra Caterina Grant (1).
- Note: Tyra Caterina Grant makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Noemi Basiletti | Tyra Caterina Grant | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-8.6 | 11.4-9.7 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 60% | 71.5% |
| Break % | 52.4% | 56.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
H2H · Noemi Basiletti 0 – 1 Tyra Caterina Grant (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Noemi Basiletti 0–1 Tyra Caterina Grant
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/26 W35 Santa Margherita | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Noemi Basiletti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Isabella Shinikova WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 18/07 | Laura Boehner WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Danka Kovinic WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Anastasia Abbagnato WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/06 | Radka Zelnickova W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Federica Trevisan W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Aneta Kucmova W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Noemi Maines W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/06 | Darya Astakhova WTA Brescia · Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 15/06 | Mia Ristic WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Tyra Caterina Grant
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Martina Trevisan WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Marie Bouzkova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Katie Boulter Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Harmony Tan Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Joanna Garland Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/06 | Taylah Preston Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 07/06 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Foggia · Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 06/06 | Darya Astakhova WTA Foggia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/06 | Tatiana Pieri WTA Foggia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/06 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Foggia · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Noemi Basiletti vs Tyra Caterina Grant?
Our model gives 65% to Tyra Caterina Grant, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

