Tennis · WTA Palermo · 21/07, 17:00

Prediction: Noemi Basiletti vs Tyra Caterina Grant

Prediction summary
Winner
35% 65%
Noemi Basiletti Tyra Caterina Grant
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Noemi Basiletti 6-4 (W-L)
LWWLWLWLWW
Tyra Caterina Grant 7-3 (W-L)
WWWLWWWWLL
Head-to-head
Noemi Basiletti 0–1 Tyra Caterina Grant (1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Noemi Basiletti 1504 · Tyra Caterina Grant 1566
Noemi BasilettiTyra Caterina Grant
Our model41%59%
Market29%71%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tyra Caterina Grant (rating 1504 vs 1566).
  • Head-to-head: Noemi Basiletti 0–1 Tyra Caterina Grant (1).
  • Note: Tyra Caterina Grant makes many double faults (5/match).

Statistics

Noemi BasilettiTyra Caterina Grant
Win %60%70%
Win % · Clay 60% (10) 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.91.5-0.8
Games (G-P)11.1-8.611.4-9.7
Aces0.23.1
Double faults1.45
1st serve %60%71.5%
Break %52.4%56.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.8

H2H · Noemi Basiletti 01 Tyra Caterina Grant (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Noemi Basiletti 01 Tyra Caterina Grant

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DateSetsGamesRes.
10/04/26
W35 Santa Margherita
0-25-12L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Noemi Basiletti

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/07 Isabella Shinikova
WTA Palermo · Clay
2-0 13-5 W
18/07 Laura Boehner
WTA Palermo · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
14/07 Danka Kovinic
WTA Rome · Clay
1-2 12-13 L
12/07 Anastasia Abbagnato
WTA Rome · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
26/06 Radka Zelnickova
W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
25/06 Federica Trevisan
W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
25/06 Aneta Kucmova
W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay
2-1 15-13 W
24/06 Noemi Maines
W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
16/06 Darya Astakhova
WTA Brescia · Clay
1-2 10-14 L
15/06 Mia Ristic
WTA Brescia · Clay
0-2 5-12 L

Tyra Caterina Grant

WWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/07 Martina Trevisan
WTA Rome · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
02/07 Marie Bouzkova
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 8-13 L
30/06 Katie Boulter
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 12-6 W
25/06 Harmony Tan
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 13-10 W
24/06 Joanna Garland
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 12-8 W
23/06 Taylah Preston
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-1 14-11 W
07/06 Leyre Romero Gormaz
WTA Foggia · Clay
1-2 13-13 L
06/06 Darya Astakhova
WTA Foggia · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
05/06 Tatiana Pieri
WTA Foggia · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
03/06 Varvara Lepchenko
WTA Foggia · Clay
2-1 15-14 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Noemi Basiletti vs Tyra Caterina Grant?

Our model gives 65% to Tyra Caterina Grant, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.