Tennis · M25 Metzingen · 20/07, 14:30
Prediction: Edison Ambarzumjan vs Isac Stroemberg
Prediction summary
Winner
Edison Ambarzumjan
Isac Stroemberg
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Edison Ambarzumjan
4-6 (W-L)
Isac Stroemberg
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Edison Ambarzumjan 1443 · Isac Stroemberg 1500
| Edison Ambarzumjan | Isac Stroemberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Isac Stroemberg (rating 1443 vs 1500).
Statistics
| Edison Ambarzumjan | Isac Stroemberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (5) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.4 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.6-11.6 | 9.1-9.7 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 60.1% | 64.5% |
| Break % | 43.6% | 38.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Edison Ambarzumjan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Tomasz Berkieta Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Aziz Ouakaa M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Anas Bennour Dit Sahli M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/05 | Tuncay Duran Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Jake Dembo M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Gray Voelzke M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 15/03 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Zadar · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 05/03 | Justin Boulais M25 Faro |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/03 | Tim Handel M25 Faro |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/03 | Rodrigo Leal M25 Faro |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Isac Stroemberg
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Nikolai Barsukov M15 Uslar |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Lewie Lane M15 Uslar |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Andre Megrabian M15 Uslar |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Ioannis Xilas M25 Kassel |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Ruben Hartig M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/06 | Jan Sebesta M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Yannick Castelnuovo M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
| 10/06 | Raphael Vaksmann M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Cameron Price M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/12 | Vlado Jankanj UTR Pro Oxford · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Edison Ambarzumjan vs Isac Stroemberg?
Our model gives 69% to Isac Stroemberg, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.