Tennis · M25 Metzingen · 20/07, 10:00
Prediction: Dominik Recek vs Arian Barbic
Prediction summary
Winner
Dominik Recek
Arian Barbic
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Dominik Recek
6-4 (W-L)
Arian Barbic
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dominik Recek 1521 · Arian Barbic 1417
| Dominik Recek | Arian Barbic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dominik Recek (rating 1521 vs 1417).
- Dominik Recek is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Dominik Recek | Arian Barbic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 14% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.7 | 0.5-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-7.8 | 6.9-10.6 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 0.7 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 72.7% | 61.2% |
| Break % | 36.5% | 48.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dominik Recek
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Alexander Wagner M25 Kramsach |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Max Wiskandt M25 Kassel |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Iannis Miletich M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Luca Castagnola M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/07 | Tarek Erlewein M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/07 | Aryan Shah M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Georgi Georgiev M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/06 | Rudolf Molleker M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
0-1 | 6-7 | L |
| 09/06 | Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Arian Barbic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Matthew William Donald M25 Kassel |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Giovanni Branchetti M25 Kassel |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Leonardo Rossi M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Jakub Filip M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/06 | David Fix M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-9 | L |
| 02/06 | Theo Papamalamis M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Antonio Voljavec M15 Doboj · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 19/05 | Artem Khuda M15 Doboj · ~Clay |
2-0 | 8-0 | W |
| 12/05 | Nicolo Toffanin M15 Prijedor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/02 | Yannik Kelm M15 Oberhaching · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dominik Recek vs Arian Barbic?
Our model gives 78% to Dominik Recek, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.