Tennis · M25 Metzingen · 20/07, 11:30

Prediction: Pieter De Lange vs Marcel Volz

Prediction summary
Winner
74% 26%
Pieter De Lange Marcel Volz
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Pieter De Lange 5-5 (W-L)
WLWWLLWLWL
Marcel Volz 4-6 (W-L)
LLLWWLWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pieter De Lange 1559 · Marcel Volz 1496
Pieter De LangeMarcel Volz
Our model59%41%
Market86%14%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pieter De Lange (rating 1559 vs 1496).
  • Note: Pieter De Lange makes many double faults (4.2/match).
  • Note: Marcel Volz makes many double faults (4.8/match).

Statistics

Pieter De LangeMarcel Volz
Win %70%50%
Win % · Clay 71% (7) 50% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.4-11-1.2
Games (G-P)11.3-10.89.8-10.3
Aces1.82.8
Double faults4.24.8
1st serve %65.8%68.2%
Break %43.2%24.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pieter De Lange

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/07 Tom Gentzsch
Challenger Bunschoten · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
13/07 Michael Geerts
Challenger Bunschoten · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
10/07 Jakub Nicod
M25 The Hague
0-2 3-12 L
09/07 Fons Van Sambeek
M25 The Hague
2-0 13-10 W
08/07 Daniele Rapagnetta
M25 The Hague
2-1 14-9 W
05/07 Jakub Nicod
M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-1 10-11 W
04/07 Abel Forger
M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-1 16-12 W
01/07 Alexandre Aubriot
M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-1 18-18 W
28/06 Marc Majdandzic
M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L
27/06 Manel Lazaro Juncadella
M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W

Marcel Volz

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/07 Max Wiskandt
M25 Marburg · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
30/06 Christopher Thies
M25 Marburg · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
24/06 Markus Malaszszak
M15 Kamen · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
22/06 Edoardo Zanada
M15 Kamen · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
15/06 Tom Sickenberger
M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
19/04 Matthias Ujvary
UTR Pro Beograd · Clay
2-1 14-14 W
17/04 Marko Maric
UTR Pro Beograd · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
16/04 Dusan Milanovic
UTR Pro Beograd · Clay
2-1 16-14 W
15/04 Razvan Baiant
UTR Pro Beograd · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
14/04 George Lazarov
UTR Pro Beograd · Clay
0-2 4-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pieter De Lange vs Marcel Volz?

Our model gives 74% to Pieter De Lange, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.