Tennis · Challenger Zug · 20/07, 12:30
Prediction: Amit Vales vs Norbert Gombos
Prediction summary
Winner
Amit Vales
Norbert Gombos
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Amit Vales
6-4 (W-L)
Norbert Gombos
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Amit Vales 1495 · Norbert Gombos 1531
| Amit Vales | Norbert Gombos | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Amit Vales makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Amit Vales | Norbert Gombos | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-11.9 | 10.9-10.8 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 67.6% | 72.3% |
| Break % | 37.1% | 37.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Amit Vales
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Andrin Casanova Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 12/07 | Ryan Nijboer Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Henry Searle Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Marcus Walters Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/07 | Michael Zhu Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/07 | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 29/06 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/06 | John Sperle Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 03/06 | Jean Baptiste Badon M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 31/05 | Kaylan Bigun M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Norbert Gombos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Alexander Ritschard Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 11/07 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Sebastian Ofner Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Orlando Luz Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Marc Majdandzic Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/06 | Elmer Moller Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 28/06 | Manuel Mazza Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 17/06 | Dalibor Svrcina Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Olle Wallin Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Amit Vales vs Norbert Gombos?
Our model gives 69% to Norbert Gombos, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.