Tennis · Challenger Zug · 20/07, 12:30
Prediction: Thiago Monteiro vs Petr Nesterov
Prediction summary
Winner
Thiago Monteiro
Petr Nesterov
Estimated games
23.8
Recent form · 10 last
Thiago Monteiro
8-2 (W-L)
Petr Nesterov
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thiago Monteiro 1554 · Petr Nesterov 1561
| Thiago Monteiro | Petr Nesterov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Thiago Monteiro | Petr Nesterov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.1 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 14-12.9 | 12.1-10.3 |
| Aces | 5.7 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 70.4% | 64.1% |
| Break % | 43.7% | 45.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thiago Monteiro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Flynn Thomas Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Dylan Dietrich ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 11/07 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 21/05 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Pol Martin Tiffon Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 19/05 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/05 | Andy Andrade Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 11/05 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 10/05 | Noa Vukadin Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 23/03 | Pedro Sakamoto Challenger Sao Paulo · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Petr Nesterov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 29/06 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/06 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 25/06 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Daniel Dutra Da Silva Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Fausto Tabacco M25 Milano · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 17/06 | Federico Arnaboldi M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/06 | Federico Iannaccone M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thiago Monteiro vs Petr Nesterov?
Our model gives 60% to Thiago Monteiro, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.