Tennis · Challenger Zug · 20/07, 11:00
Prediction: Luca Staeheli vs Anton Matusevich
Prediction summary
Winner
Luca Staeheli
Anton Matusevich
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Luca Staeheli
5-5 (W-L)
Anton Matusevich
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luca Staeheli 1549 · Anton Matusevich 1526
| Luca Staeheli | Anton Matusevich | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Luca Staeheli | Anton Matusevich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-8.3 | 12-11.6 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 5.6 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 72% | 74% |
| Break % | 62.5% | 36.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luca Staeheli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/07 | Vladyslav Orlov M25 Kramsach |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Dennis Andre Dutine M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Matyas Kozlovsky M25 Kramsach |
2-1 | 17-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Jack Loge Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 05/07 | Courtney John Lock Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 01/07 | Igor Marcondes Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 29/06 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/06 | Abel Hernandez-Aguila Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Anton Matusevich
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Nikola Djosic Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/07 | Max Wiskandt M25 Kassel |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 09/07 | Michael Agwi M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Aryan Shah M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Rei Sakamoto Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 15/06 | Arthur Gea Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Soonwoo Kwon Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/06 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 07/06 | Mark Lajal Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luca Staeheli vs Anton Matusevich?
Our model gives 53% to Anton Matusevich, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.