Tennis · Challenger Zug · 20/07, 11:00
Prediction: Mili Poljicak vs Mika Brunold
Prediction summary
Winner
Mili Poljicak
Mika Brunold
Estimated games
24.1
Recent form · 10 last
Mili Poljicak
7-3 (W-L)
Mika Brunold
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mili Poljicak
0–1
Mika Brunold
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mili Poljicak 1498 · Mika Brunold 1498
| Mili Poljicak | Mika Brunold | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Mili Poljicak dominates on serve: 6.6 aces and 44.6% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Mili Poljicak 0–1 Mika Brunold (1).
Statistics
| Mili Poljicak | Mika Brunold | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-11.8 | 12-13.3 |
| Aces | 6.6 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 76.8% | 62.9% |
| Break % | 44.6% | 60.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.1
H2H · Mili Poljicak 0 – 1 Mika Brunold (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mili Poljicak 0–1 Mika Brunold
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/01/25 Challenger Quimper | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mili Poljicak
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Patrick Schoen Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 11/07 | Lukas Neumayer ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 28/06 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 23/06 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 19/06 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Bozo Barun M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 30/05 | Duje Ajdukovic M25 Bol · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 29/05 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/05 | Noah Karma M25 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Mika Brunold
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 14/07 | Ryan Nijboer Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 31/05 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 26/05 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 25/05 | Laurent Lokoli Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/05 | Daniele Rapagnetta Challenger Francavilla · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 30/04 | Miguel Damas Challenger Mauthausen · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Alex Barrena Challenger Mauthausen · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 27/04 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Mauthausen · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mili Poljicak vs Mika Brunold?
Our model gives 55% to Mili Poljicak, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.