Tennis · Challenger Winnipeg · 21/07, 17:00
Prediction: Murphy Cassone vs Charles Broom
Prediction summary
Winner
Murphy Cassone
Charles Broom
Estimated games
23.8Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Murphy Cassone
5-5 (W-L)
Charles Broom
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Murphy Cassone
1–0
Charles Broom
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Murphy Cassone 1504 · Charles Broom 1500
| Murphy Cassone | Charles Broom | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Murphy Cassone 1–0 Charles Broom (1).
Statistics
| Murphy Cassone | Charles Broom | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 25% (4) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.9-12.4 | 11.3-10.3 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 2 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 72.8% | 69.8% |
| Break % | 48.6% | 28.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.3
Over 22.5: 59% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 41% · 1.83
H2H · Murphy Cassone 1 – 0 Charles Broom (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Murphy Cassone 1–0 Charles Broom
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/03/26 Challenger Thionville | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Murphy Cassone
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Arthur Gea Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/07 | Blaise Bicknell Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 08/07 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Ethan Quinn ATP Mallorca · Grass |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 21/06 | Alex Molcan ATP Mallorca · Grass |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 20/06 | Filippo Romano ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/06 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Tyler · Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 03/06 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Charles Broom
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 20/06 | Marcos Giron ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 15/06 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/06 | Dylan Leeman Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 10/06 | Henrique Rocha Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Daniel Evans Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 07/06 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/06 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/05 | James Beaven Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Murphy Cassone vs Charles Broom?
Our model gives 55% to Murphy Cassone, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.