Tennis · Challenger Bloomfield Hills · 21/07, 16:00
Prediction: Bernard Tomic vs Tristan Boyer
Prediction summary
Winner
Bernard Tomic
Tristan Boyer
Estimated games
25.5
Recent form · 10 last
Bernard Tomic
6-4 (W-L)
Tristan Boyer
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Bernard Tomic
0–1
Tristan Boyer
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bernard Tomic 1559 · Tristan Boyer 1530
| Bernard Tomic | Tristan Boyer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Bernard Tomic 0–1 Tristan Boyer (1).
Statistics
| Bernard Tomic | Tristan Boyer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 40% (5) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.1-12 | 13.2-11.5 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 5.9 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 72.2% | 72.1% |
| Break % | 31.4% | 39.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.5
H2H · Bernard Tomic 0 – 1 Tristan Boyer (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bernard Tomic 0–1 Tristan Boyer
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/02/24 Challenger Bengaluru | 1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bernard Tomic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Mark Lajal Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 19/07 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 18/07 | Matthew Forbes Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/07 | James McCabe Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 09/07 | Adam Walton Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 08/07 | Braden Shick Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Christopher O'Connell Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Kaichi Uchida Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Conor Gannon Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
Tristan Boyer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Nuno Borges Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 13-20 | L |
| 25/06 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 26-21 | W |
| 24/06 | Andrea Pellegrino Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/06 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Jay Clarke Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/06 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 12/06 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 10/06 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/06 | Raphael Perot Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/06 | Sebastian Baez Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bernard Tomic vs Tristan Boyer?
Our model gives 55% to Tristan Boyer, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.