Tennis · Challenger Bloomfield Hills · 20/07, 20:30
Prediction: Alexis Galarneau vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexis Galarneau
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Estimated games
25.4
Recent form · 10 last
Alexis Galarneau
6-4 (W-L)
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexis Galarneau 1530 · Pablo Llamas Ruiz 1505
| Alexis Galarneau | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Alexis Galarneau | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 57% (7) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-11.8 | 12.4-12.8 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 5 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 72.5% | 70.2% |
| Break % | 46.8% | 31.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexis Galarneau
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Aleksandar Vukic Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 15/07 | Tyler Zink Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 10/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/07 | Adrian Mannarino Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 08/07 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 24/06 | Oliver Tarvet Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Henry Searle Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Zachary Svajda Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 7-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Tristan Boyer Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 21-26 | L |
| 24/06 | Pol Martin Tiffon Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Dan Added Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/06 | Daniel Merida Aguilar Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Jacopo Vasami Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/06 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 24/05 | Thiago Agustin Tirante French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 16-25 | L |
| 22/05 | Vilius Gaubas French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/05 | Ugo Blanchet French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexis Galarneau vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz?
Our model gives 52% to Pablo Llamas Ruiz, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.