Tennis · Challenger Segovia · 21/07, 16:00
Prediction: Chris Rodesch vs Matteo Martineau
Prediction summary
Winner
Chris Rodesch
Matteo Martineau
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Chris Rodesch
4-6 (W-L)
Matteo Martineau
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chris Rodesch 1551 · Matteo Martineau 1482
| Chris Rodesch | Matteo Martineau | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chris Rodesch (rating 1551 vs 1482).
- Note: Matteo Martineau makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Chris Rodesch | Matteo Martineau | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-12.7 | 10.3-11 |
| Aces | 9.5 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 73.3% | 67.3% |
| Break % | 33.8% | 38.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chris Rodesch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 18/07 | Akira Santillan Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/07 | Oliver Crawford Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 15/07 | Paul Inchauspe Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/07 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 24/06 | Dusan Lajovic Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Florent Bax Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 16/06 | Grigor Dimitrov Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 19/05 | Leandro Riedi French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Matteo Martineau
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Philip Henning Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Iliyan Radulov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Luca Wiedenmann Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Daniel Salazar Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Mickael Kaouk Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 08/06 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 07/06 | Mae Malige Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chris Rodesch vs Matteo Martineau?
Our model gives 66% to Chris Rodesch, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.